![]() Why she can win: The past two elected governors came into the office after serving as attorney general - or “aspiring governor,” as the office is jokingly referred to in Albany. She’s since said she supports that idea, but neither her past opposition nor her more recent work in a “lobbyist-type” job for a bank is likely to play well among the left wing of the party. ![]() Eliot Spitzer’s plan to grant driver’s licenses to undocumented immigrants while she was serving as Erie County’s clerk in 2007, threatening to arrest applicants. Hochul helped lead the opposition to then-Gov. If the situation gets worse for Cuomo, her hundreds of comments praising his leadership could come back to haunt her.Īnd she was much more conservative earlier in her career. Why she can’t win: Hochul has repeatedly said that she views her current job as being a Cuomo booster. There hasn’t been a better opportunity for a politician to tie their young administration to a moment of joy since V-J Day.Īnd her ability to identify as the first female governor of New York, should she assume that role in the coming months, certainly wouldn’t hurt. She could be the one who holds a celebratory news conference in which she throws a mask in a garbage can and announces that New York has defeated Covid. She’s constantly on the road speaking at ribbon cuttings and charity galas, meaning plenty of people who have never interacted with the other contenders already know her as somebody who is willing to spend time helping them out.Īnd should Cuomo leave office in the coming months, she’d suddenly have all of the advantages of incumbency. Why she can win: Hochul has arguably worked harder at developing relations in every corner of the state than anybody else in New York politics in recent years. Here’s a look at some of the officials about whom people are talking as they consider the possibility of a post-Cuomo New York, informed by interviews with more than a dozen people involved in state politics. “Donors and consultants have begun reaching out to prospective candidates because they see the writing on the wall.” “Whether he resigns or not, there will be no shortage of candidates in 2022,” said a person with ties to one potential Democratic candidate, speaking anonymously so as not to anger Cuomo. Most leading operatives and Democratic politicians in the state are still not eager to publicly discuss the famously vindictive governor’s vulnerability, but some quietly acknowledge Cuomo could be damaged enough to attract a long line of primary contenders - including some with enough clout to shore up key voting blocs in New York City. And if the governor tries for a fourth term, he might benefit from an enlarged primary field in which multiple challengers split the anti-Cuomo vote. A celebrity or billionaire might enter the primary and blow up many preexisting assumptions.
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